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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Économie
  3. Which countries will have a recession before 2027?
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

8.1% (24h)ÉconomieOne-Off1a
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Japan
Japan 24%-8.1%
En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

1,1 €

Liquidité

301,1 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

23.4% / 30.9%

Spread

32.0%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

23 avr. 24, 12:0031 déc. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Japan24%

Règles

If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

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Marchés Associés

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

2,7 k €
Oui: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €
Oui: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €
4.3%: 38%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,1 €
2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

80,4 €
Oui: 47.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF.