Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above 3.4% 29%+2.0%En tête parmi 21 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
9,3 k €
Liquidité
348 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
29.0% / 32.0%
Spread
10.3%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
12 mai 26, 16:0012 août 26, 12:29
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Above 3.4%29%
Grosses transactions
$2.0k98.0%
KALSHIAbove 3.6% — Noavant-hier
KALSHIAbove 3.6% — Noavant-hier$1.5k73.0%KALSHIAbove 3.4% — Noavant-hier
KALSHIAbove 3.4% — Noavant-hier$1.2k98.0%KALSHIAbove 3.7% — No-5 j
KALSHIAbove 3.7% — No-5 j$1.4k68.0%KALSHIAbove 3.4% — No-5 j
KALSHIAbove 3.4% — No-5 j$1.9k96.0%KALSHIAbove 3.7% — No-8 j
KALSHIAbove 3.7% — No-8 j$2.0k98.0%KALSHIAbove 3.8% — No-8 j
KALSHIAbove 3.8% — No-8 j$1.8k89.0%KALSHIAbove 3.6% — No-9 j
KALSHIAbove 3.6% — No-9 j$1.8k90.0%KALSHIAbove 3.2% — Yes-10 j
KALSHIAbove 3.2% — Yes-10 jTendance du volume
$10.6k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
72,1 €Above 3.3%: 87%KALSHI
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
0 €Above 3.0%: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIInflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
0 €Above 3.0%: 97%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,5 k €Soft Landing: 62%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
19,3 €Oui: 76.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,8 k €0-1%: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.1% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.2% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.3% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.