Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleD-T, magnetic confinement 39%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète4 juil. 23, 16:36 UTC1 janv. 00, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
Manifold MarketsBy Dec 31, 2035, will any nuclear fusion power plant have delivered at least 100 MW of net electrical power, 30 day ave.
Manifold MarketsA fusion power plant will generate a net 100 megawatt of electricity by the beginning of 2063
Manifold MarketsWhich country will produce the first >1GW nuclear fusion power plant to return energy back to the grid?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRègles
To count as a fusion power plant, the majority of the energy has to be derived from fusion and it has to output more power than it takes in.
- If most of the fusion energy comes from D-T fusion, but some other reactions also take place, that counts as D-T.
