KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 95%
Qualité du marché
80 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
1,2 k €
Liquidité
194,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
4.0% / 5.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
1 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
KalshiMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:USGS
Marchés ouverts
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 141,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 129,1 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 72,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 71,8 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 71,6 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 95% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.