PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Indonesia 51%En tête parmi 7 options
Indonesia 51%Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
89,8 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
97.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
30 sept. 26, 14:02 UTC4 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves to "Yes" if the the named outcome Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, by November 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
- Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
- A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe.
- Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
- Revisions to a reported earthquake's underlying data, such as preferred magnitude and country attribution, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after that earthquake's origin time (ET); revisions made after that time will not be considered.
- If a reported earthquake still qualifies at the end of its revision period, this market will resolve to "Yes" at that time, without remaining open until November 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.