Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleIndonesia 53.3%En tête parmi 23 options
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 22:00 UTC12 janv. 27, 22:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November?
PolymarketWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Last year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2023
- This year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2024
- If two places tie they both resolve