What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Science3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle4.6 to 5.0 34.8%En tête parmi 6 options
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2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard11 janv. 26, 09:51 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the highest magnitude earthquake occurring within the Campi Flegrei (Phlegraean Fields) region in Italy during the year 2026.
- The resolution will be determined using data from the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), which provides comprehensive seismic monitoring for the area.
- The specific magnitude ranges for resolution are:
- the named outcome
- The highest recorded magnitude within the specified period will determine the outcome.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 4.6 to 5.0 à 35% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria