Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 32%-0.8%
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
10,7 k €
Liquidité
90,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
31.7% / 34.6%
Spread
9.2%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
9 nov. 25, 15:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes32%
Grosses transactions
$1.2k71.5%
KALSHINo-19 h
KALSHINo-19 hTendance du volume
$12.2k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
1,6 k €Oui: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
Natural Disaster in 2026?
699 €Oui: 22%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
503,3 €2: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
745,3 €5-6: 66%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
554,7 €Above 2: 41%KALSHI
KALSHI
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
9,2 €At least 1: 25%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Alphabet’s $1 billion SpaceX gamble balloons into a $94 billion stakeCrypto News
Galaxy Digital opens $5M fund for Bitcoin quantum security researchCrypto News
Claude's Fable 5 just solved an 87-year-old math problem, and it matters for bitcoinCoindeskSpaceX stock sinks to post-IPO low after Starship launch abortCrypto News
Google DeepMind, Isomorphic Labs Unveil AI-Powered Bioresilience PlanBlockchain.News
NVIDIA's Ising Decoder Slashes Color Code Errors 300xBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027