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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Science
  3. Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

3.5% (24h)One-OffScienceWeather6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
2
2 63%+1.5%
En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche

80 / 100

Haute qualité
Volume 24h

3,4 k €

Liquidité

64,8 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

27.0% / 29.0%

Spread

7.4%

Spread modéré
Variation 7j

-0.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes

12 nov. 25, 22:5431 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
5
5
0%

Résultat choisi

263%

Règles

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.

Polymarket
  • Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
  • If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
  • This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt).
  • If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.

Polymarket
  • Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
  • If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
  • This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt).
  • If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.