KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Dec 11, 2026 95%En tête parmi 5 options
Before Dec 11, 2026 95%Qualité du marché
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert
24,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert élevéÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
29 sept. 26, 15:30 UTC30 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 1h (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiWhen will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PolymarketStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsReal banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026
Manifold MarketsRègles
If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:SpaceX
- For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Dec 11, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Dec 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 27, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 13, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 30, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 16, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Before Dec 11, 2026 est de 95%. L'écart entre plateformes est d'environ 1 point de pourcentage.
Référence CoinRithm Before Dec 11, 2026 95% · 2 plateformes · 1 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Limitless — SpaceX Starship 15th launch? · Before Dec 11, 2026 94%