KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2027 14%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,8 k €
Liquidité
27,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
2 juin 26, 02:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
KalshiWhen will Starship first launch with useful payload?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn which year will Starship first launch with 50 or more people on board?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe New York TimesAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2027 à 14% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets.