Probabilité implicite actuelle
5 44%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
443,8 €
Liquidité
14,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
20.0% / 25.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
27 mai 26, 0:301 janv. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
423%
Comparer les plateformes· 5-6
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 51% | -16pt | 443,8 € | 14,5 k € | il y a 15 minutes | |
 Polymarket90% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 67% | 0pt | 0 € | 28,1 k € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Kalshi80% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 88% | +21pt | 0 € | 2,3 k € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Limitless90% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 67% | +0pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 91% | +24pt | — | — | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
0.5 pts5mo
+0.5pt65.7%
-0.5pt17.6%
-0.4pt10.8%
+5 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total430 k €
Volume 24h0 €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Limitless
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5mo
64.1%
17.9%
10%
+5 résultats de plus
27 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total21,6 €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
5mo
+1.8pt91%
+6.0pt66.8%
+3.4pt30.4%
+5 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire60 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5mo
88%
71%
38%
+7 résultats de plus
40 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenne
Volume total2,9 k €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
- Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
- (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
- If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$5052 juil.26j de données27 juil.
Marchés Associés
By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
26,4 €4 (all flight #s are on or before): 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Elon Bull Run Parlay
0 €Oui: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
AI data center in space by which date?
2,7 k €2027: 25%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026?
94,9 €Oui: 28.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
340,8 €Oui: 33%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
- Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
- (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
- If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.