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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Tech
  3. How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

5.0% (24h)TechSpaceYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
2
2 2%-5.0%
En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0,4 €

Liquidité

26,7 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

2.0% / 7.0%

Spread

250.0%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes

27 mai 26, 0:301 janv. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

22%

PolymarketÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

0.3%6mo
<5
<5
-4.5%52%
5-6
5-6
-3.0%25%
7-8
7-8
+4.2%10%

+5 résultats de plus

64 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total402,6 k €
Volume 24h273,7 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Règles

If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
  • Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
  • (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
  • If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Marchés Associés

AI data center in space by...?

AI data center in space by...?

1,4 k €
2027: 18%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will SpaceX (SPCX) closing price on its first trading day be greater than $135?

885,5 €
Oui: 75%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?

433,1 €
Oui: 86.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

6,7 €
Oui: 32%KalshiKALSHI
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

5,6 €
Oui: 31%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,939.37+2.48%SolanaSOL$65.33+1.74%EthereumETH$1,661.11+1.87%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.54%BNBBNB$596.99+1.87%XRPXRP$1.12+0.48%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
  • Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
  • (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
  • If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.