Prévision communautaire actuelle
3 or more 97.8%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
65
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
2 août 25, 01:13 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Starship launches will occur in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starship launches will occur in 2028?
Manifold MarketsStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
LimitlessStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiHow many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? · <5 46%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? · 5-6 68%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026? · Above 3 85%
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 622,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 579,5 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 411,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 411,6 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.3%
- 160-179+5.0pt28.6%
- 200-219-4.0pt15.2%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt87.3%
- 65-89-10.0pt12.8%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Next James Bond actor?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many Starship launches will occur in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 3 or more à 98% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many Starship launches will occur in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many Starship launches will occur in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment How many Starship launches will occur in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Où How many Starship launches will occur in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi.