Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 07:03 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
3 or more 100%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
71
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+2.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète2 août 25, 01:13 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Stortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
LimitlessHow many Starship launches will occur in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starship launches will occur in 2028?
Manifold MarketsStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiIn what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? · <5 48%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? · 5-6 50%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026? · Above 3 91%
