Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
2029-2030 36%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète15 janv. 24, 01:53 UTC1 janv. 41, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
LimitlessHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsRègles
The number of Starship family rocket launches must exceed the number of Falcon family launches.
- Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy, and any future variations of Falcon are included; Starship cargo, tanker, test, crew, HLS, depot, and any future variations are included.
- All option brackets are inclusive; the total number of Starship family launches in the selected year must be greater than (not equal to) Falcon family launches.
- This will close on the first day of the next year after the condition is met.
- 2 Starship launches
- 96 Falcon launches
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2029-2030 à 36% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2041.
- Comment In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The number of Starship family rocket launches must exceed the number of Falcon family launches.