PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle<5 53%-4.0%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
273,7 €
Liquidité
36,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
2.2% / 7.1%
Spread
222.7%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-0.3%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
12 déc. 25, 0:4531 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
<553%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5.0%6mo
-5.0%2%
-4.0%1%
2%
+7 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total47,9 €
Volume 24h0,4 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.