Probabilité implicite actuelle
2027 16%-0.5pt
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
120,3 €
Liquidité
27,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
15.0% / 16.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
3
Variation 7j
-2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
14 mai 26, 17:47 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will data center technicians still be necessary in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiWill there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).
- “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- 241,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 128 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 349,4 k €
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour AI data center in space by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote 2027 à 16% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand AI data center in space by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- AI data center in space by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment AI data center in space by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où AI data center in space by which date? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets, Futuur.