Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 75%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète21 mai 26, 19:31 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
AI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketAI data center in space by ?
FutuurWill Lumen Orbit have at least one functioning megawatt-scale data center in space by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill "Pretraining on Aligned AI Data Dramatically R..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Lumen Orbit have at least one functioning megawatt-scale data center in space by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves according to https://polymarket.com/event/ai-data-center-in-space-by .
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).
- “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
