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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Tech
  3. By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
Manifold Markets

By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?

TechYearlySpace6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
4 (all flight #s are on or before) 0%
En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes

65

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

22 mars 24, 17:571 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Manifold Markets
4 (all flight #s are on or before)
0%
Manifold Markets
5
0%

Résultat choisi

121%

Règles

An orbit around earth is defined as having a perigee above 100 km.

Manifold Markets
  • All past flights have targeted perigees with negative values (inside the surface of the earth).
  • So when do you think Starship will have a perigee above 100km?
  • This obviously assumes Starship is in one piece and flying nominally when it reaches this orbit.
  • If a piece of debris once belonging to Starship happens to reach orbit it will not count (resolve NO).
  • Starship must actually fly to orbit if it is targeted so if orbit is not reached in flight this market resolves NO.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$63,475.42+0.00%SolanaSOL$66.59-0.36%EthereumETH$1,663.77-0.72%DogecoinDOGE$0.0868+0.58%BNBBNB$603.45+0.05%XRPXRP$1.13-0.81%

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Règles

An orbit around earth is defined as having a perigee above 100 km.

Manifold Markets
  • All past flights have targeted perigees with negative values (inside the surface of the earth).
  • So when do you think Starship will have a perigee above 100km?
  • This obviously assumes Starship is in one piece and flying nominally when it reaches this orbit.
  • If a piece of debris once belonging to Starship happens to reach orbit it will not count (resolve NO).
  • Starship must actually fly to orbit if it is targeted so if orbit is not reached in flight this market resolves NO.