Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97.2%
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63
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 22:36 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? (No) → SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketRègles
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41142) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if SpaceX successfully transfers at least 1 metric ton of propellant from one Starship to another while both are in Earth orbit during 2026.
