Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 6 juin 2026, 22:04 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelle
By Dec 31, 2025 74%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 49 jours
Obsolète7 janv. 25, 4:561 janv. 32, 5:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
By Dec 31, 202574%
Marchés Associés
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4,3 k €SpaceX: 86%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX
44,4 €Under $3T: 1.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029
42,2 €It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation: 60.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
AI data center in space by ?
0 €December 31, 2027: 15%FUTUUR
FUTUURWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
244,9 €No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0 €SpaceX: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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Each option will resolve yes if a reusable booster is launched by an entity other than SpaceX by the end of the date stated (Eastern time).
- In order to count as reusable, the booster needs to actually be successfully re-used! However only the initial launch of the booster needs to happen by the date stated, the re-use launch can happen up to 2 years later and will retroactively make the date of the initial launch count.
- Example: Rocket A and rocket B are both non-SpaceX rockets intended to be reusable, and no other relevant launches occur.
- Rocket A is launched successfully on Nov 20th 2026 but never reused.
- Rocket B is launched on Dec 20th 2027, then re-launched successfully on April 15th 2028.
- The options would resolve as follows: