Prévision communautaire actuelle
Before 2028-01-01 95.5%En tête parmi 32 options
Prévisionnistes
84
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète6 juin 24, 17:44 UTC1 janv. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill MMX successfully land on Phobos?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship successfully land for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
FutuurSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRègles
In June 2024 SpaceX demonstrated successful descent for both first and second stages of the Starship rocket.
- The potential next stage would be to try to land one or both stages.
- This market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX manages to land the second stage of Starship rocket after an orbital or suborbital flight.
- The spacecraft has to be landed on land and in one piece.
- It should presumably be captured by the launch tower, but other ways of landing on land or on a barge would also qualify.
- The rocket can sustain some damage, but the payload has to stay intact.
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before 2028-01-01 à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : In June 2024 SpaceX demonstrated successful descent for both first and second stages of the Starship rocket.