Prévision communautaire actuelle
Before 2028-01-01 90.9%En tête parmi 11 options
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard18 mars 25, 21:27 UTC1 janv. 28, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWill MMX successfully land on Phobos?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship successfully deploy its payload during Flight 15?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES for all time ranges before which there is a flight in which Starship and its booster both successfully land.
- Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator
- Primary source: The result will resolve based on a consensus of news media reports.
- Secondary source: If there is no news media consensus, the resolution will follow SpaceX's statement.
- Fallback: In the absence of a clear statement from SpaceX, the resolution will be based on a personal assessment: whether both the booster and Starship appear to have landed and remain undamaged.
- Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Landing Site Clarification:
