Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 96.4%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète16 sept. 23, 14:47 UTC2 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Griffin-1 successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRègles
For a successful mission the Blue Moon HLS lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : For a successful mission the Blue Moon HLS lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational.