KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2027 12%-5.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
51 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,6 €
Liquidité
53,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
11 juin 26, 00:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWill Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsBlue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes93.1%
- No6.9%
- Volume total
- 190 k €
- Volume 24h
- 190 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-2.0pt88%
- OpenAI+0.5pt9%
- Google+0.8pt3%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 114,5 k €
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+23.5pt89%
- 2026+37.0pt62%
- September 30, 2026+29.0pt36%
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture39.6%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer28.3%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202717%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 27,7 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?
- OpenAI85.7%
- Google7.6%
- Reve0.9%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,8 k €
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 2027+0.5pt54%
- June 30, 202742.7%
- 2026-1.4pt3.2%
- Volume total
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2027 à 12% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.