PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 85%
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
276,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
10.0% / 20.0%
Écart
10.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
4
Variation 7j
+3.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
1 juin 26, 17:14 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsBlue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketWill New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiWhen will Blue Origin launch New Shepard
KalshiRègles
If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle.
- The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome.
- Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.