Probabilité implicite actuelle
OpenAI 58%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 19 options
OpenAI 58%-0.5ptQualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,5 k €
Liquidité
3,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+29.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
1 oct. 26, 14:02 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
PolymarketThird-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Lab end of December?
PolymarketWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWhich lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Agent leaderboard on November 2, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.