Probabilité implicite actuelle
Meta 28.9%-16.0ptEn tête parmi 21 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,2 k €
Liquidité
14,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
2.0 pt
Spread serréComments
0
Variation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
13 août 26, 21:1531 oct. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $68,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $68,000 or above+3.0pt98%
- $70,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 372,1 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+81.0pt95.2%
- 89° or above1%
- 83° to 84°-51.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,1 k €
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.5pt10.8%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.4pt10.8%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-0.3pt8.8%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 25, 2026?
- New Orleans+18.0pt99%
- Denver+13.0pt62%
- Oklahoma City+1.0pt13%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
- 65-89+21.5pt63.4%
- 40-64-3.0pt26.7%
- 90-114-12.1pt8.9%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Aug 25, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+42.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-31.0pt1%
- 94° to 95°-11.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 25, 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of August?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug 25, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) ?
- Polymarket cote Meta à 29% au 26 août 2026.
- Quand #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) sera-t-il résolu ?
- #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2026.
- Comment #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.