Ce marché s'est résolu: Yes (81%)
Résolu: 21 oct. 2026, 00:30
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 21 oct. 2026, 16:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Tendances
Gagné
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a general-purpose CHERI CPU ship ≥10,000 units by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU order a general-purpose AI model withdrawn or restricted from its market before 2027?
FutuurWill there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Publicly available: Must be available to normal users (paid ok) at some point before 2027.
- General purpose: This is based on advertising and positioning of the model.
- GPT-5.3-Codex would not count because it's positioned as a Codex-specific model, as evidenced by its exclusive availability within Codex.
- GPT-5.2 would count.
- In general if the model is released within a chatbot, that's sufficient to make it general purpose.
- Major AI Labs: For this market, this list includes OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, and DeepSeek.
