Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 66.5%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète10 juin 25, 17:47 UTC31 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if a commercially available CPU implementing full CHERI capability-based memory protection ships at least 10,000 units to customers by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution Criteria:
- CPU must be capable of running a general-purpose OS (e.g., Linux, FreeBSD, or Windows).
- CHERI support means hardware-enforced capabilities per the CHERI architecture developed by the University of Cambridge.
- “Shipped” means physically delivered to customers or integrators (not just manufactured or pre-ordered).
- Units shipped can be documented via press releases, credible news sources, financial filings, or direct statements from vendors.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a general-purpose CHERI CPU ship ≥10,000 units by end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a general-purpose CHERI CPU ship ≥10,000 units by end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a general-purpose CHERI CPU ship ≥10,000 units by end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will a general-purpose CHERI CPU ship ≥10,000 units by end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if a commercially available CPU implementing full CHERI capability-based memory protection ships at least 10,000 units to customers by December 31, 2026.