Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 66.5%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 48 minutes
En retard10 juin 25, 17:47 UTC31 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the EU order a general-purpose AI model withdrawn or restricted from its market before 2027?
FutuurWill Chinese humanoid robot companies ship 50x more units than US companies by EOY 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Chinese humanoid robot companies ship 50x more units than US companies by EOY 2026
Manifold MarketsWill a general-purpose Activation Language Model (ALM) be publicly introduced by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill cheap, portable, general purpose non-invasive brain-computer interfaces be commercially available by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES if a commercially available CPU implementing full CHERI capability-based memory protection ships at least 10,000 units to customers by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution Criteria:
- CPU must be capable of running a general-purpose OS (e.g., Linux, FreeBSD, or Windows).
- CHERI support means hardware-enforced capabilities per the CHERI architecture developed by the University of Cambridge.
- “Shipped” means physically delivered to customers or integrators (not just manufactured or pre-ordered).
- Units shipped can be documented via press releases, credible news sources, financial filings, or direct statements from vendors.
