PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 21:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 98%-0.2pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3,2 k €
Liquidité
39,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
1.7% / 2.0%
Écart
0.3 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
8
Variation 7j
+0.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète30 avr. 26, 18:281 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level.
- Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 601,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 743,1 k €
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+1.0pt99%
- Seth Moulton-1.3pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 55 M €
- Volume 24h
- 283,1 k €
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Trump out as President before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump goes to space in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 98% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump goes to space in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump goes to space in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Trump goes to space in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.