Before 2028
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Non · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Non 56%
Non 56%Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
23,6 €
Intérêt ouvert
2,5 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
NonÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
22 oct. 26, 19:00 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Non
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?
Polymarket1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk give one of his SpaceX shares to every kid in America next year?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump Accounts be expanded to include Americans under 40 years old by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceXSI rename itself back to SpaceXAI by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump nationalize SpaceX?
KalshiRègles
La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
Règlement via:The New York TimesAPBloombergReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states Elon Musk depositing SpaceX shares into the Trump Accounts of at least 10 million children occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. This requires that SpaceX shares contributed by Elon Musk have been credited to the Trump Accounts of at least 10,000,000 children, with each of those accounts receiving at least one share. Deposits made in more than one round count together toward the 10,000,000. A Source Agency report that Musk's shares have been deposited into every eligible Trump Account, or into a group of accounts it puts at 10,000,000 or more, is sufficient. Shares contributed by Elon Musk include shares given by any foundation, trust, or other entity he controls, or routed through any charity or intermediary, when the gift is part of his October 19, 2026 pledge or a Source Agency credits it to him. A Trump Account is an account established under Section 530A of the Internal Revenue Code, under any name, including an account opened automatically by the U.S. Department of the Treasury. If SpaceX merges with or is acquired by another company, is renamed, or otherwise reorganizes, shares of the company into which SpaceX shares were converted or exchanged count as SpaceX shares. One share means one share as adjusted for any stock split, reverse split, or stock dividend after Oct 19, 2026. The following do NOT count: A pledge, announcement, commitment, or agreement to deposit shares, or a transfer of shares to the Treasury or another intermediary, before the shares are credited to the children's accounts Cash, or any payment equal to the value of a share, in place of SpaceX shares SpaceX shares contributed by anyone other than Elon Musk, including the gift pledged by Gwynne Shotwell and her husband
Règles de chaque résultat
- No
- La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
- Yes
- La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.