KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%
Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
7,7 €
Liquidité
8,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
3.0% / 4.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
6 juin 25, 20:45 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump nationalize elections?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill the FY27 NASA Budget be larger than FY25?
Manifold MarketsWill Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRègles
If the United States begins the process of nationalizing SpaceX before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:relevant federal courtsofficial White House press pool reportsthe United States CongressFederal RegisterSecurities and Exchange CommissionBoard of Governors of the Federal ReserveDepartment of the TreasuryDepartment of Justice Office of the Pardon AttorneyNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforEnergy Information AdministrationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Please see full rules for details.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump nationalize SpaceX? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump nationalize SpaceX? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump nationalize SpaceX? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Trump nationalize SpaceX? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the United States begins the process of nationalizing SpaceX before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.