KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
United States 59%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
58,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
28 nov. 24, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 31, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon be able to send humans to Mars before 2050
Manifold MarketsWhich crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon?
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KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRègles
If the named outcome is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Times
- If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the the named outcome.
- If Russia is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If India is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If China is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? ?
- Kalshi cote United States à 59% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.