Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 04:21 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Lanyue 43.9%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète20 juin 25, 02:51 UTC31 déc. 30, 02:47 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀
Manifold MarketsWill China land humans on the Moon before the US returns astronauts to the lunar surface?
Manifold MarketsWho will land humans on the Moon first: SpaceX or Blue Origin?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the crewed lunar lander that successfully transports astronauts from lunar orbit to the Moon's surface, as confirmed by an official space agency or government announcement.
- the named outcome: Developed by SpaceX under NASA's Artemis program, the named outcome is slated for the Artemis III mission, aiming for the first crewed lunar landing since 1972.
- An uncrewed test flight is planned for 2025, with the crewed mission expected no earlier than mid-2027.
- (en.wikipedia.org)
- Blue Moon HLS: Blue Origin's Blue Moon lander is contracted for the Artemis V mission, targeting a crewed lunar landing.