Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
SpaceX 6.1%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète7 janv. 24, 21:06 UTC1 janv. 31, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsPrivate Companies - greatest valuation growth September 2026
PolymarketStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiWill Elon be able to send humans to Mars before 2050
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
The question will resolve as "YES" for each space agency or private company that successfully lands humans on Mars before the end of 2030.
- If multiple agencies or companies achieve this independently or through a collaboration, each will be resolved as "YES" individually.
- The successful landing is defined by a human crew safely reaching the surface of Mars and conducting at least one extravehicular activity (EVA) or surface operation.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements and confirmations from the respective agencies or credible space exploration authorities.
Marchés ouverts
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀 ?
- Manifold Markets cote SpaceX Ã 6% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀 doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The question will resolve as "YES" for each space agency or private company that successfully lands humans on Mars before the end of 2030.