Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 56.2%
Prévisionnistes
63
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard23 mars 24, 19:21 UTC30 mars 30, 19:21 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill Barack Obama outlive Angela Merkel?
Manifold MarketsWill Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump nationalize SpaceX?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRègles
See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-alive-on-the-day
- See: @/strutheo/in-what-year-will-a-human-walk-on-m
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars? doit être résolu le 30 mars 2030.
- Comment Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-alive-on-the-day