Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 50.6%
Prévisionnistes
473
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète23 mars 24, 19:19 UTC2 janv. 45, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill Sesame Street end before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill a dog walk on the moon before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Open until either event happens
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-walk-on-mars
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-walk-on-the-moo
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-orbit-or-walk-o
- Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:
