KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2030 42%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
571,2 €
Liquidité
154,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.8 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
5 déc. 24, 21:00 UTC31 déc. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill P vs NP be resolved after man lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:NASA
- If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 131,5 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Volume total
- 103,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,9 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 996,1 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour NASA lands on the moon? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2030 à 42% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand NASA lands on the moon? sera-t-il résolu ?
- NASA lands on the moon? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment NASA lands on the moon? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.