Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleUS 53.3%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
205
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète19 août 25, 17:17 UTC1 janv. 35, 18:17 UTC
Tendances
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NASA lands on the moon?
KalshiHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If the next person to successfully land on the moon is a Chinese citizen, resolves "China"
- If the next person to successfully land on the moon is a US citizen, resolves "US"
- If multiple people successfully land on the moon at the same time and they have different citizenship, resolves proportionally to those citizenships:
- 1) 1 US citizen and 1 Chinese citizen would resolve the market 50% China, 50% US, 0% everything else.
- 2) 1 dual-citizen of US and Canada, and 2 US citizens, would resolve the market 5/6 US, 1/6 Canada, and 0% for everything else)
- This market will be extended until it can be resolved.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who lands on the Moon next? ?
- Manifold Markets cote US à 53% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who lands on the Moon next? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who lands on the Moon next? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2035.
- Comment Who lands on the Moon next? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If the next person to successfully land on the moon is a Chinese citizen, resolves "China"