Prévision communautaire actuelle
>= 35 80.2%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète30 juin 26, 14:24 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsBy when will two Starships launch within 24h?
Manifold MarketsNASA lands on the moon?
KalshiWho lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
PolymarketWill two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
KalshiRègles
By date of launches and landing, not the flight number that does the landing, so inclusive of refueling flights.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Launch counting starts from IFT-1 (integrated flight tests, excluding ship-only hops).
- The landing on the Moon does not need to be crewed; an uncrewed demo or cargo landing will qualify.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon? ?
- Manifold Markets cote >= 35 à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : By date of launches and landing, not the flight number that does the landing, so inclusive of refueling flights.