Prévision communautaire actuelle
>= 35 80.2%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète30 juin 26, 14:24 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Elon Musk lands on the moon anytime through 2029
Manifold MarketsBy when will two Starships launch within 24h?
Manifold MarketsWill humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsNASA lands on the moon?
KalshiWho lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
By date of launches and landing, not the flight number that does the landing, so inclusive of refueling flights.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Launch counting starts from IFT-1 (integrated flight tests, excluding ship-only hops).
- The landing on the Moon does not need to be crewed; an uncrewed demo or cargo landing will qualify.