Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 95%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
13 nov. 24, 03:34 UTC31 déc. 28, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling SLS before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWhat words will the 'name' of the first Human Landing System to land on the moon include?
Manifold MarketsWill the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiRègles
There needs to be an official statement attributable to DOGE.
- Elon Musk does not need to be associated with that statement.
- The Blue Origin HLS does not need to be cancelled, only that DOGE recommends it.
- If Blue Origin HLS is cancelled without any statement from DOGE this would resolve NO.
- If DOGE ceases to exist this can resolve NO early.
- I will not bet
