Prévision communautaire actuelle
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Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
14 oct. 26, 08:33 UTC29 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
By when will Starship deploy a payload bigger than a Starlink?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Description / Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves based on whether Starship successfully deploys the payload or payload simulator explicitly scheduled for deployment during SpaceX's Starship Flight 15 mission.
- (obviously Starlink satellites)
- YES if SpaceX confirms that the planned payload has been successfully released from Starship during Flight 15, and the release is supported by official mission footage or an official mission update.
- NO if the planned payload is not released, or not relaeasd completely , the deployment attempt fails, the payload remains attached to Starship, or SpaceX confirms that the planned deployment did not occur.
- A payload merely being carried into space, reaching orbit, or being visible inside Starship does not count as successful deployment.
