Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 87.7%
Prévisionnistes
53
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète16 oct. 23, 23:29 UTC2 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach Mars by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
FutuurSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRègles
Question will resolve Yes if a landing occurs if a Starship rocket operated by SpaceX lands on Mars before January 1st 2030.
- Landing will count as a success if the rocket does not explode on impact, and the majority of the payload is in tact.
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Question will resolve Yes if a landing occurs if a Starship rocket operated by SpaceX lands on Mars before January 1st 2030.