Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 98.5%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète15 févr. 25, 05:02 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? (No) → SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PolymarketStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsRègles
Market resolves YES if a real banana is clearly visible anywhere on or inside a Starship during an official SpaceX broadcast of a Mars mission in 2026.
- Resolution will be based on live broadcast footage or official SpaceX media releases.
- https://www.space.com/spacex-starship-mars-launches-2026-elon-musk
- Update 2025-07-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the definition of 'real banana' includes dried banana.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 622,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 579,5 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 411,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 411,6 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.3%
- 160-179+5.0pt28.6%
- 200-219-4.0pt15.2%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt87.3%
- 65-89-10.0pt12.8%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Next James Bond actor?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Real banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Real banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Real banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Real banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Market resolves YES if a real banana is clearly visible anywhere on or inside a Starship during an official SpaceX broadcast of a Mars mission in 2026.