Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 17 juil. 2026, 19:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Prévision communautaire actuelleBefore 2027-07-01 86.8%-2.3ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 jours
Obsolète20 mai 24, 13:251 juil. 27, 21:59
Tendances
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before 2027-01-0122%
Comparer les plateformes· Before 2027-07-01
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global88% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 35% | — | 21,8 € | 18,5 k € | il y a 21 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 87% | — | — | — | il y a 10 jours |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
5.0 pts5mo
-5.0pt35%
13%
2%
51 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total49,6 k €
Volume 24h21,8 €
KALSHIRègles
As of May 2024, SpaceX and FAA are going through the Environmental assessment to clear SpaceX Starship rocket to be launched from Kennedy Space Center in Florida.
- It is anticipated that for Artemis III mission both launch location will be used.
- This question will resolve positively as soon as an orbital launch is attempted with Starship+Superheavy rocket from a launch pad in Kennedy Space Center.
- The question resolves positively even if the launch fails after the takeoff.
- Suborbital launches do not count.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$279 juil.4j de données17 juil.
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As of May 2024, SpaceX and FAA are going through the Environmental assessment to clear SpaceX Starship rocket to be launched from Kennedy Space Center in Florida.
- It is anticipated that for Artemis III mission both launch location will be used.
- This question will resolve positively as soon as an orbital launch is attempted with Starship+Superheavy rocket from a launch pad in Kennedy Space Center.
- The question resolves positively even if the launch fails after the takeoff.
- Suborbital launches do not count.
- I do not bet on my own questions.