Prévision communautaire actuelle
5 100%En tête parmi 15 options
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète22 nov. 23, 17:27 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Options resolve YES when Starship has launched that many times and still hasn't launched with at least one human on board.
- (e.g. when Starship launches for the fifth time, "5" resolves YES and the other options remain open)
- When Starship launches with at least one human on board, all remaining options resolve NO.
- If Starship is permanently retired such that no more launches are expected, and it still hasn't flown any humans, all remaining options resolve NO.
- Only full-stack (booster and ship) launches count, but they don't have to be orbital launches.
- Launches before market creation count, starting with the April 20, 2023 launch.
