Prévision communautaire actuelle
Before 2033 60.1%En tête parmi 9 options
Before 2033 60.1%Prévisionnistes
48
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète23 févr. 24, 07:16 UTC2 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Artificial Intelligence pilot an aircraft with human passengers completely autonomously before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]
Manifold MarketsWhere will we have our first non-earth human baby?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
The market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX Starship spacecraft launches from or lands on the Earth with human astronauts on board.
- At least one passenger has to survive the maneuver.
- I do not bet on my own markets.
- Similar question about humans on board at any time in the flight:
- @/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-fly-in-space-wit
- Related questions: