Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 61.4%+0.0pt
Qualite du marche
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
3,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
57.0% / 66.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread largeVariation 7j
+6.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
12 nov. 25, 22:0531 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes62%
Tendance du volume
$405 juil.20j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
23 €Oui: 1%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
7,2 k €SpaceX: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET5kt meteor strike in 2026?
28,8 €Oui: 27%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
254,3 €Oui: 32%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Global Average Temperature July 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
110,4 €July 2026 less than 1.095C: 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
61,4 €Oui: 35%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025.
- You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.