Prévision communautaire actuelle
Warmest October on record (1st) 25%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
0
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète9 oct. 26, 19:09 UTC12 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
How will October 2026 rank among all Octobers in the Copernicus ERA5 global surface air temperature record?
- Resolution source: the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) monthly climate bulletin for October 2026 (published at climate.copernicus.eu, usually in the first ~10 days of November).
- If the bulletin states the rank ("warmest October on record", "second-warmest October", etc.), that statement decides.
- If the bulletin does not state a rank, I compute it from the ERA5 monthly global-mean surface air temperature anomaly that C3S publishes (Climate Pulse series, https://pulse.climate.copernicus.eu/), comparing October 2026 against every earlier October.
- Warmest October on record (1st)
- the named outcome
