Probabilité implicite actuelle
Canceled 94%-1.1%En tête parmi 25 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,4 k €
Liquidité
115,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
0.1% / 0.5%
Spread
400.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+0.1%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
5 mai 26, 23:5011 oct. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Canceled94%
Tendance du volume
$1.6k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
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3,6 k €AfD: 84%POLYMARKET
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Marine Le Pen legally barred from running for French President in 2027?
427,9 €Oui: 1.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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163,5 €Conservatives: 0.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
- This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate.
- A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
- If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.